Locks

NFL (0.75 Unit) 2 Team 6 Point Teaser; Dallas Cowboys -0.5 @ Detroit Lions, Chicago Bears @ New England Patriots -1.5 (-120):

Dallas Cowboys -0.5 @ Detroit Lions

The only thing keeping me from absolutely hammering the Cowboys this week is the lasting memories of Dak Prescott’s Week 1 struggles against Tampa Bay. Even with those memories, I believe the Cowboys are going to roll the Detroit Lions. This Micah Parsons-led Dallas defense is beyond impressive and can keep the Cowboys afloat even when the offense sputters. Cooper Rush did his job in Dak’s absence, but it’s Prescott’s turn to silence the haters in what should be a comfortable road win for dem boys.

*MNF LEG* Chicago Bears @ New England Patriots -1.5

I said it on my podcast last week, and I’ll double down right now. The New England Patriots are never dead with Bill Belichick in charge. I was honestly hoping to see Bailey Zappe start this game, but I still have enough confidence in Mac Jones to cover this tiny number, led by a defense that has shown to be beyond competent. Factor in how bad the Chicago Bears’ offense is and that this game is being played at Foxborough. The Patriots shouldn’t have a problem here as a late teaser leg to end your NFL weekend.

NFL (0.75 Unit) Kansas City Chiefs -1 @ San Francisco 49ers (-110): 3:25 PM CT on CBS

I made my first television appearance on Sportsgrid this week, and during my first segment of me explaining this pick, Christian McCaffrey was hilariously traded to the San Francisco 49ers. Now I know this pick sounds some alarms, such as being a public pick, a road team pick, and a spread moving against the Kansas City Chiefs, but I don’t care. The Chiefs are 13-3-1 as a favorite of 3 points or less during the Patrick Mahomes era, and I see that trend continuing today. The 49ers have a good defense, but they are the most banged-up team in the league right now. Pair that with Jimmy Garoppolo having to go against Mahomes, and I just can’t pass this one up.

NFL (0.75 Unit) Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans -2.5 (-110): 12 PM CT on CBS

This is a spread that surprised me staying under 3 points. The duo of Mike Vrabel and Ryan Tannehill is 14-3 straight up against the AFC South. At the same time, the same duo is 5-1 both straight up and ATS against the Colts. To top it off, Vrabel is 4-0 straight up and ATS coming off of a bye, so I’m rolling with the Titans.

NFL (0.5 Unit) New York Giants +3 @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-110): 12 PM CT on FOX

Much like the last pick, this one comes down to some glaring statistics. Since 2012, the Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-39 against the NFC. On the contrary, The New York Giants are 4-0 this season straight up as an underdog. As a matter of fact, the NFC East has only lost one game all season against teams outside of the NFC East, with the exception of the lowly Commanders. Daniel Jones and Saquon Barkley have been able to do just enough to keep this offense rolling, and I expect them to once again win this game outright as a dog.

NFL (0.5 Unit) New York Jets -1 @ Denver Broncos (-110): 3.05 PM CT on CBS

Let’s fly, Jets Nation. As corny as that was, nothing will ever be cornier than the cornball god himself, Russell Wilson. I was ready to lock this before he was ruled out, and although I actually have some respect for Boise State great Brett Rypien, I don’t have enough to believe in him against this Jets defense that is for real. I’m a huge Robert Saleh fan as well as Breece Hall, and let’s not skip over the fact that Zach Wilson has played good football dating back to the end of last season. The Jets should win this one by at least a field goal so I’m rolling with New York.

NBA (0.75 Unit) Minnesota Timberwolves/Oklahoma City Thunder Over 225 (-110): 7 PM CT on Bally

This is strictly an eye test bet. I watched the entirety of the Wolves’ first couple of games and what I’ve picked up is that they once again play at a pretty fast pace and unfortunately once again struggle at the defensive end to not give up wide open shots. When these two teams met last week they combined to shoot sub 40% and still got within a bucket of this total, despite a sluggish end to the game and just horrible shot making by both teams. I see this game having slightly better shooting and being played in the 230’s at least behind a big offensive output from KAT, Anthony Edwards and D’Angelo Russell after a horrible loss to the Utah Jazz.

Degenerates

No degenerates today.

Tiny Nick is 906-753 ATS (+83.5 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage. 

Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.