Locks
NFL (1 Unit) Dak Prescott Over 260.5 Passing Yards (-110; Odds via DraftKings): 7:15 PM CT on Prime Video
If my Cowboys lose this game, it’ll be time to sound the alarm. But I don’t see that happening, not with Dak’s record against the Giants of 5-1 SU and ATS in New York. This is what the Cowboys do, bully bad NFC East rivals, and I see them trying to make a statement here after two bad losses. In order to do that, they’ll need to lean on the passing game since they really don’t have much on the ground, so a vulnerable Giants secondary should get torched by Prescott on a high-volume passing night.
Bonus Prop Picks (Odds via DraftKings)
0.25 Unit – Dak Prescott Over 36.5 Pass Attempts (+100)
0.75 Unit – Devin Singletary Over 60.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
0.75 Unit – Malik Nabers Over 6.5 Receptions (+100)
0.5 Unit – CeeDee Lamb Over 80.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
0.25 Unit – Jalen Tolbert Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
NCAA Football (0.75 Unit) Army First Half Team Total Over 14.5 (+100; Odds via Caesars): 6:30 PM CT on ESPN
Army is one of the fun stories so far in college football, and I think they continue impressing tonight. The Black Knights have adapted their triple-option and added some effective passing in response to new NCAA rules, and they’re cruising offensively as a result. They are punishing teams on the ground, ranking 3rd in line yards and 4th in rushing success rate, which will continue against a Temple defense ranked 115th and 91st, respectively, in the reverse of those metrics.
Army will also look to score early in this one and then salt the game away in the second half, which has been their M.O. this season as they’re averaging 21.0 first half points compared to 13.3 after halftime. Temple is going to be a good victim for that approach, as the Owls are allowing 24.8 first half PPG, good for 126th in the country. Temple couldn’t stop the other service academy triple-option they faced a couple weeks ago as Navy rolled up 23 first half points, so look for Army to get off to a fast start here as well.
Degenerates
No degenerates today.
Tiny Nick has gained +90.3 Units on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.
Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.